29/02/2024

Global Crisis Watch 265

You are invited to join us for Global Crisis Watch 265 on Friday, March 1st at 10.00 GMT.

 

The highlighted topics will include:

Leaked Russian Military Files Reportedly Reveal Criteria for Nuclear Strike

Leaked military documents have reported reveal Russia's doctrine for using tactical nuclear weapons. According to the Financial Times, these battlefield weapons, intended for use in Europe and Asia, could be deployed under conditions stemming from significant military losses or specific attacks on Russian territory. The documents, dating from 2008 to 2014, also highlight Russia's wariness of China, with military exercises simulating hypothetical Chinese attacks. Despite close ties, Moscow's strategic exercises near China's border underscore ongoing tensions. Experts believe Russia's tactical nuclear threshold against Ukraine is higher, to avoid escalating conflict with Western powers.

 

Firefighters Battle Unprecedented Blazes in Australia, Thousands Evacuate in Victoria

Australia faces severe bushfire threats as firefighters combat a vast blaze prompting the evacuation of 30,000 people in Victoria amid "extreme to catastrophic" conditions. Dry, windy weather and the potential for dry lightning exacerbate the situation, with temperatures soaring above 40°C. The current blaze, which started in Bayindeen and destroyed six homes, poses a significant risk to densely populated areas. This crisis follows the devastating Black Summer wildfires, with experts warning of an intensified fire season due to El Niño and global warming, raising the stakes for future bushfire management and prevention.

 

Biden Secures Michigan Amid Protest Votes Over Gaza Stance

President Joe Biden won Michigan's Democratic primary with 80% of the vote amidst significant protest votes over US support for Israel in the Gaza conflict. The "uncommitted" votes tallied at 13%, signaling concerning levels of voter discontent for Democrats. Activists view this as a message to Biden, potentially influencing similar protests in other states. Despite Biden's victory, concerns over US-Israel policy have likewise mobilised voters, with former Congressman Andy Levin and others highlighting the humanitarian cost of the conflict. Trump also secured the Republican primary in Michigan, setting the stage for a much touted rematch in the general election.

 

Macron's Troop Proposal Sparks Allies' Confusion in Ukraine Conflict

President Macron's suggestion of potentially sending Western troops to Ukraine has sparked debate and confusion among allies, challenging the notion of avoiding direct NATO involvement to prevent global conflict in an open discussion on strategic ambiguity. While the US and several European countries quickly rejected the idea, Macron's comments have stirred discussions on alternative support methods, such as demining and training Ukrainian forces. The mixed reactions highlight tensions within the Franco-German alliance and raise concerns about unity among Ukraine's supporters. Macron's stance also prompted discussions on escalating Western military aid to Ukraine, amidst fears of Russian victory.

 

Plus, all the stories that are catching our attention wherever we live in the world. Feel free to join us and add your voice to the conversation.